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comment by wasoxygen
wasoxygen  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: The American middle class is no longer the majority

I continue to struggle to understand the attention given to relative measures of well-being compared to absolute measures of well-being.

If everyone's wealth doubles tomorrow, this chart will not change at all.

There is an acknowledgement in paragraph 8 that "middle class ... median income, adjusted for household size, has risen over the long haul, increasing 34% since 1970" but this good news is necessarily moderated by the gloomy observation that middle class median income "has not kept pace with upper-income households."

Who cares? Would any members of the middle class be better off if all those upper-income households vanished?

The "34%" is important as it is adjusted for inflation and household size. We often see factoids claiming that things were better back then, but even if this number were 0% it would show that things were not better. Things are better now. And income measures ignore the much greater variety of things we can spend income on today, many of which are less expensive and higher quality as well, from vegetables to automobile safety (updated link to video).

Controlling for household size is important because "average household size in the United States decreased from 3.2 persons in 1970 to 2.5 persons in 2015, a drop of 21%" according to the methodology.





mk  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Both measures may be important. Of course, in terms of wealth, most Americans are better off if you pick a long enough time scale. However, wealth is not a perfect measure for quality of life.

For example, a car is not the same proposition to me that it was to someone in 1910. For me, having a car is a necessity that borders on being a burden. Do I have a car, or must I have a car?

It might be maddening, but the goal posts are always moving and are very much positioned not just relative to 'what once was', but even more by 'what we think ought to be'.

    Who cares? Would any members of the middle class be better off if all those upper-income households vanished?

It's a good question. There have been studies of wealth inequality that have suggested as much, but the correlation doesn't seem to be a strong one. My guess that it is one factor among many. I doubt that income inequality tends to promote a feeling of well-being for all parties.

wasoxygen  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    if you pick a long enough time scale

Another sore spot. I suggest, here and always, that we consider the maximum available range of data.

Your phrase is suggestive of someone who says "global temperatures have not risen for ten years."

mk  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I was making the point that people don't often consider the long arc of historic wealth when it comes to our view of their own.

Whether or not people's perception of their wealth, or their absolute wealth matters more seems to be the difference that drives debates around this topic. I don't think a satisfying answer can be found, so both are probably worth worrying about.

wasoxygen  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    For me, having a car is a necessity that borders on being a burden. Do I have a car, or must I have a car?

Ah, the first world.

We are burdened by the necessity of laundering our bed sheets so we do not have to sleep with parasites.

We are burdened by the necessity of refrigerators so we do not have to worry about eating spoiled food.

We are burdened by having to take antibiotics so we don't die of infection.

We are burdened by the need to charge our smartphones and pay for data plans so we can use devices that would have made Jules Verne swoon.

That automobile which was once a rare luxury item (and before that an impossible fantasy) is now "merely" a safe, efficient, comfortable, and relatively affordable machine that enables you to get to your climate controlled, 9-to-5 workplace without breaking a sweat.

Is there anything in the big picture that should not lead to cries of joy and gratitude from almost everyone? There's one thing...

    I doubt that income inequality tends to promote a feeling of well-being for all parties.

Let's ignore the lack of hard data and assume that the correlation is strong. Therefore, the evil consequence of the poor getting richer and the rich getting richer at a different rate is that some people's feelings might get hurt.

    the goal posts are always moving

This is the very proof of progress, that the goal posts keep moving in the same direction. It's understandable that people's feelings are not based on the long, global view. But when we step back and talk about the subject, I think we should try to be more objective and recognize the positive trends in measurable life quality factors. As for feelings, the Easterlin Paradox is an area of active research.

coffeesp00ns  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I mean, I don't disagree with you, but

    That automobile which was once a rare luxury item (and before that an impossible fantasy) is now "merely" a safe, efficient, comfortable, and relatively affordable machine that enables you to get to your climate controlled, 9-to-5 workplace without breaking a sweat.

This changed when we changed the way we built our cities (as well as their outlying areas) so that it became necessary to own a vehicle to access many basic services. You need to consider real life applications.

I live in a place where, to get to my 6 am start prep cook and baking job I'd have to walk two hours, and there is no such thing as bus service. add another two hours to walk home and I've spent 10 hours of my day at work and in travel to and from it. Compare that to 6 hrs of work plus 15 total minutes of travel (I live on a rural highway, speed limit 80Km/50mph), having a car means that I can do things like Teach music lessons after work to supplement my income.

Owning a car also means that I can get into the closest major city for my appointments with my Hormone Doctor, or crazy thought, actually be able to go to my local doctor without taking a day off of work because of travel time (I'd estimate 2.5 to 3 hours to get to the doctor from where I live). Even if the Greyhound DID stop off the highway in the town I live (it doesn't), I'd still have to take two days off of work for the appointment and travel .

I'd love to live in the city and have access to all these things via bus service and walking - but I can't afford it. I currently live in my parents' basement in Rural Ontario, trying to save money to go back to school. I'm not even that rural. I'm an hour outside of a major city. If I lived further out, it would be even worse.

But even living in cities can pose problems, when they're designed with cars in mind. I lived in Akron, OH, for my MMus, and while i was a 3 minute walk from the hospital, I was an hour round trip walk from the closest grocery store - Busses existed, but were infrequent to the point that they were neglible.

Suddenly, all of the things you do in a day that take little to no time become all-time consuming when you have to walk everywhere - or even bike everywhere. add and hour to groceries, add an hour to travel to and from university, oops, need to pick up some medication, add an hour to get to the pharmacy. the list goes on. Instead, with a car, it can be 20 minutes round trip to and from university, 15 minutes round trip to and from the grocery store, with a stop on the way home to the pharmacy because seeing the sign on the road reminded me that I needed to pick up my prescription.

You're right, cars started as a luxury, and in many ways still are, but they're also a necessity to anyone who lives outside of a major city and wants to even partially take part in "society".

At this point I'm kind of rereading this and seeing you're more inferring that we should be... i guess more in awe of what defines a lower or middle class existence, but I guess it's hard to be in awe of things you need to function.

wasoxygen  ·  3259 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    we should be... i guess more in awe of what defines a lower or middle class existence, but I guess it's hard to be in awe of things you need to function

Yes, your description is evocative and shows that we haven't arrived at a perfect, carefree society. I say that the car is an "option" for you in the sense that you at some point made a decision that life is better -- less difficult -- with a car than it would be without. In the past you would not have had this option because automobiles did not exist. We might have discussed the inconvenience of keeping a horse shoed and fed and healthy, and the problem of feces piling up in the streets.

You may be relatively less well-off than many other people today, but you are absolutely better off than almost everyone in the distant past, when many people did not even survive childhood.

Of course, it's natural to compare ourselves to more fortunate contemporaries, and the resulting aspiration probably drives a lot of the progress in society. I just find it curious that there seems to be a determination to ignore or even deny this forward progress, and focus on pessimistic measures of human well-being.

coffeesp00ns  ·  3259 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    In the past you would not have had this option because automobiles did not exist.

TRUE. But in fairness, I would likely have not been working as far away from my home as I am now. the small road crossing I leave near would have had a general store, and a church (which still stands, actually - they use it for weddings, but need to bring a generator for power), etc. I wouldn't have been working in the next town over, or 15 km down the road.

Now, there's no nearby general store, no post office, and fewer farms, less industry. It's because our society has evolved to take the car into account. People drive into the city for work, people drive to the big box store in the next town, or to the grocery store in the other town that has better prices.

Because we've been doing that for 40 years and more, smaller local businesses have disappeared, and if one tried to live without a car in a town like mine now, like one would have 100 years ago, it would be possible of course, but the idea of "leisure time" would become a memory, eaten up by walking 20 minutes to the grocery store, then 20 minutes back, or walking an hour to work, and an hour back. every errand adds more time taken, and you can only do so much at a time because you don't have any way to carry a large amount of stuff.

Then also do that in -40 with with a headwind a few times each winter, or in a few feet of snow, or on a +35 C day, or in pouring rain. Modern life does not stop for those things (neither did life 100 years ago, but you probably weren't going as far then)

What i'm saying is that it's possible to live without a car outside of major cities, but it is, as a general rule, not realistic.

-----

anyways as I said in my first post, I do agree with you that most of what we consider "necessities" today are gravy on top of a life that our great-grandparents would have been gobsmacked at. Cars, however, are not one of those. The advent of the affordable car for everyone changed our society in an irrevocable way - It created suburbs, it created freeways, it changed almost everything.

mk  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    Therefore, the evil consequence of the poor getting richer and the rich getting richer at a different rate is that some people's feelings might get hurt.

It is true. It is why old folk admonish young folk for fretting over problems that are measurably lesser than those they experienced.

An automobile is a "a safe, efficient, comfortable, and relatively affordable machine that enables you to get to your climate controlled, 9-to-5 workplace without breaking a sweat". But it is also the only way that I can get to work, and it costs me significant amounts of money. A car is not all upside. It is a measure of both, and the balance differs among people. When I was an undergrad, if my car broke, I accumulated debt. I could not get to school or work without one, and I could not afford one that wouldn't break. It wasn't a clear source of well-being.

On its face these lesser problems might seem ridiculous, but they aren't easily dispelled. We are not wholly rational beings.

ButterflyEffect  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I have a dream of one day not needing a car for work. Which, obviously, involves moving into a city where I could either walk, bike, or take public transit. Good luck doing that anywhere else, and if you go for it you'll probably end up paying a lot more for rent or what have you. It's a no win situation but it puts less pollutants in the atmosphere, at least.

One day.

user-inactivated  ·  3271 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Been a conversation for a long damn time.

"What the honorable member is saying is that he would rather the poor were poorer provided that the rich were less rich." - Margaret Thatcher.