25-50% of book value seems to be what a lot of CRE is worth but it’s really hard to get folks to admit that. Prices can change drastically with rates and a lot of current owners are praying for lower rates. At least till the election seems like risk of hikes is low but decent chance of a cut has fueled the hopium. Retail house prices are driving by the nesting drive so they are less in touch with reality but they will be more likely to clear with a forcing function like job cuts as there won’t be extend and pretend on the consumer side.
Maybe that's the difference. Nobody in the commercial circles thinks there's going to be a cut in the next 18 months at least. I've got a pull from a title company showing every sale and mortgage going back to 2018 within 3 miles of a property I'm looking at. They're asking $1.2m, every comp you can find says $750k. They bought for $560k in 2015.