I read books so you don't have to
Let's get a couple things out of the way: First of all, this is not a book about Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Eighty five percent of it is middle-class neoliberal grievance-airing, a condescending outline of every hand-wringing, pearl-clutching economic issue that a self-centered economics professor at a SUNY backwater might read in The Atlantic. Note that I agree with these grievances, and have read every.single.book Ms. Kelton references, but that I have yet to read as superficial and self-serving a summary as this one. Note also that her focus is squarely on I-me-mine; issues such as eviction or equality or health care aren't addressed.
Another ten percent of this book is disheartened, scolding disapproval of every person Ms. Kelton attempted to explain MMT to while employed as the Sanders campaign's pet economist in 2016. She spent a good nine months telling congrescritters that water was wet and not a single one of them went for a swim with her, which is a sign... well, we'll get to that.
So maybe five percent of this book is "here's MMT". And that five percent is stupid. Stephanie Kelton is stupid, her arguments are stupid, and MMT is stupid. I don't mean that in the nondenominational "I don't like it" way we tend to use "stupid" these days, I mean it as "designating a mentality which is considered to be informed, deliberate and maladaptive."
I was not aware of any books on MMT prior to this one. Every investment professional or economist I've ever read, however, treats MMT like the fucking plague without really describing it so an actual book would be great. And I call Ms. Kelton and her ideas "stupid" after real consideration: you simply cannot reach her conclusions without a deliberate and practiced immunity to reason. This is obvious after very few pages, I might add, but I finished the whole thing mostly so I could say I did. I suspect it will be rhetorically useful to be able to say I read Kelton, much like it's useful to be able to say I read Piketty, except that Piketty is fundamentally here's all the historical data I could find, here are some trends I noticed, so here are some correlations we can draw.
Deficit Myth never breaches a "checkmate atheists" level of reasoning.
So with all that said, what is Modern Monetary Theory(MMT)? Well, there are tenets, which we can discuss:
1. Any government whose debt is delineated in its own currency can never run out of money.
2. The purpose of taxes is to control inflation.
3. Unlike households, governments can spend money and then collect the funds necessary to cover expenses.
4. Unemployment of any kind is a policy decision and full, meaningful employment can be mandated.
That's it. That's MMT in a nutshell. If you've studied macroeconomics at even an "I read a Vox article once" level, your eyebrows may be creasing right now. A book with "Modern Monetary Theory" in the title could reasonably be expected to examine, investigate, debate, explain and defend these four tenets but this book does not. Well, not at the level an economics book should. Ms. Kelton legit references Sesame Street within the first 20 pages:
And the condescension continues at that level for the rest of the book; those who do not accept MMT are clearly idiots in Ms. Kelton's mind and if her arguments are uncompelling it's because no one has even the child-level intellect necessary to comprehend the brilliance of MMT, not because her arguments are facile. But that's just annoying, it's not rhetorically fatal. The fatality is that she cherry-picks arguments like a person with no object permanence, as if the broader implications of her examples are legitimately beyond her reasoning.
Take tenet (1), for example. Ms. Kelton makes much of the fact that there's nothing stopping any government from printing all the money they need, so long as they don't owe anyone any debt in money they don't control. Nowhere in this book is the word "hyperinflation" used or discussed. "Weimar Germany" is unmentioned. "Great Depression" is never discussed, although Ms. Kelton does quote John Kenneth Galbraith from The Great Crash. Instead she mentions that Greece ran into currency troubles because they were on the Euro, and that Russia defaulted in 1998 not because they didn't have the resources to prop up their spending but because they borrowed too heavily from foreign governments.
Tenet (2) is likewise advocated in a sideways fashion. Taxes exist to control inflation. So how do we control inflation? We disband the Federal Reserve and give it to Congress. How does Congress control inflation? They raise and lower taxes. Instantaneously? How often should we pay taxes in such a way that the economy can be moderated? What kind of taxes are we talking about? Federal? What about state taxes? What about sales taxes? What about investment taxes? She never examines this issue, nor the fact that we're talking about a body that debated Terry Schiavo's feeding tube for a month and debated Benghazi for the lifetime of a giant redwood. Naah these are the guys that are going to moderate inflation through taxation. Handled. Next.
Tenet (3) argues that the government can spend whatever the fuck it wants and then pay for it later. She makes this big song'n'dance about "yellow dollars" and "green dollars" where "yellow dollars" are what everyone else on the planet calls "bonds." Need to pay for full employment? Write the checks, and then sell bonds. Debt service? Never discussed. Fluctuating bond prices? Nowhere in evidence. There's a passage whereby Ms. Kelton fails to convince a congressman that the US could default on all bond debt without impacting any part of the economy because, you see, he's too afraid to challenge the status quo. The amazing thing is, she legit brings up Breton Woods and the Nixon Shock as an example of how everything changed for the better when we kicked the gold standard to the curb, but doesn't address the fact that we did it because we spent too much on the Vietnam War, and doesn't address the fact that doing so caused six years of crippling inflation. She's like a woman talking about how the most prominent feature of a unicorn is its hoofs. Cashflow? Nowhere discussed. Fractional reserve banking? Nope. Multiplier effects? None.
Tenet (4), though, the wonder of full employment, is where some truly breathtaking leaps of faith are made. Ms. Kelton, you see, feels that the solution to unemployment, underemployment, and living standards is for the government to guarantee a living wage job to anyone who wants one. She thinks fifteen an hour ought to do it, because "inflation" is this fuzzy idea that's tied to "taxes" which only exist as the grudgingly necessary counterpart to the practice of writing whatever checks you need, when you need them. What are these jobs? We'll let the local municipalities decide that. This from a woman who brings up redlining as a non sequitur a couple times and legit lashes out at The New Deal for being racially biased. Great Leap Forward? Never mentioned. This is a book in which the word "Soviet" never appears. No - when we talk about mandatory full employment, what we bring up is Argentina in 2003, but not Argentina in 2001, nor Argentina in 2002, nor Argentina in 2005. Argentina didn't enter a crisis because they'd outstripped their resources, and it didn't leave a crisis because they took on a shit-ton of foreign debt. Nope. That's pure MMT, baybee.
And that's kind of where we're at: This shit is pure if-you-build-it-they-will-come Laffer Curve Communism.
That's not an accident, by the way. Ms. Kelton's guru and mentor is Warren Mosler, designer and entrepreneur behind some of the ugliest kit cars ever made (look it up). She was hanging out at his house because of course she was and he told her the story about how he taught economics to his kids by paying them in business cards and they were all wtf dad and then he said lol and if you don't give me ten of my business cards a week I'll kick you out and lo and behold, it doesn't matter how many business cards Warren Mosler has, what matters is that his kids can't find anywhere else to live and foreign exchange and black markets are figments of your fucking imagination. Mosler?
- Excited to share his various economic theories, Warren met economist Arthur Laffer through a tip from Donald Rumsfeld. Arthur suggested Warren to seek out postkeynesian economists L. Randall Wray, Bill Mitchell, and Stephanie Kelton to discuss his ideas. These post-Keynesian economists taught Mosler about chartalism, and in turn Mosler convinced the economists that taxation and borrowing does not finance US federal government spending.
Voodoo economics: not just for Republicans anymore
So. Governments can pay for anything, the economy is a closed system, Soros never broke the Pound, full employment has never been attempted, and the Great Depression never happened while the reason the Great Recession lasted as long as it did is because the Obama administration didn't give enough money away (and probably should have given it directly to the middle class). Budgets need never be balanced, taxes can be raised instantaneously and controlling inflation is as easy and fundamental as adjusting a thermostat.
Any questions?
I want the government to buy me and everyone else in the country a mansion on 5 acres. On a more serious note, I think the reason people started taking this garbage seriously is because the government has printed an ungodly amount of money since 2008 without any increase in inflation. So now the thinking goes that we can make as much money as we want without any consequences. I think what this fails to account for is how little of that money actually made it to circulation, rather than shoring up bogus balance sheets. We haven't done the experiment that the MMT people think we have already done, and if we did that experiment my guess is that the results would be pretty different. Nice write-up though. Appreciate it.
again, the Communists have you covered. There's this awesome bit in the book where Ms. Kelton takes every economist of the late '40s and '50s to task over their fear of deficits for believing that deficit spending would lead to insolvency in the future (again, this is a woman who never says "debt service"). She then laughs and points at them and says that the '40s and '50s were some of our years of greatest expansion without saying a single goddamn thing about the '70s. In that moment, anyway. Much later she uses the massive debt of the '60s as the reason for pulling out of Breton Woods but never once connects those two events together. The real dividing line between the MMTers and everyone else is that the MMTers say "we can do this without consequence" while everyone else argues about what the consequences are likely to be. I've seen any number of charts that indicate every rise in the stock markets since 2008 is directly tied to money printed by the Fed. We've had our inflation, it's just been in the NYSE, S&P and NASDAQ. But Ms. Kelton never touches that either.I want the government to buy me and everyone else in the country a mansion on 5 acres.
On a more serious note, I think the reason people started taking this garbage seriously is because the government has printed an ungodly amount of money since 2008 without any increase in inflation.
Breton Woods was already de facto pulled out of by 1947, because of, ahem, massive government debt in Europe that the US had to subsidize. Attempts to say otherwise are not historically accurate, but I can't imagine historical accuracy is pertinent to this type of fantasy. Offset payments don't really work when denominated in a single government's currency, because you know, the locals sort of like to use their own currency for shit at the hardware store and restaurants and whatnot. And unless or until a country can produce all of its own goods without trade, or we become a One World Government, we're pretty much stuck with trade imbalances, and at least one country involved in the trade is going to use another government's money in those situations (although it's both countries a lot of the time). There are times when I think I couldn't respect Bernie Sanders any less than I already do, but then I always find a way to go lower. Edit to say that those bunkers made my day. I can't believe I've never some across that before.
As a self-described socialist, I find it incredibly disappointing that the Sanders campaign resorted to this kind of imaginary economics in order to pay for their proposed policies. Numerous European social democracies show that you can operate that kind of government without the magical money printer that the US allegedly operates. There might have been more widespread support for important policies like Medicare for All if there was a real way to pay for it.
If Stephanie Kelton were an engineer, she would draw the free body diagram to solve the statics of the problem directly in front of her, and then argue that because the solution balances in her model, the rest of reality can be disregarded. "trade" is another word that does not enter this book. Considering the entire argument for MMT rests on the dollar being the world's reserve currency, you'd think there'd be some analysis about why, exactly, the dollar is the world's reserve currency, or what happens when transactions are entered in other currencies, or what happens when a currency's sovereignty is challenged, stuff like that. Nope. None. Nothing. The sun always sets on the British Empire, always has, always will, forever and ever amen. All other countries should read this book because they might learn something about how to run their countries. She actually says that. I know about Albanian Mushrooms because of the War Nerd:
I shared that War Nerd story, so I guess I did hear of it once upon a time. Not a scrap of recollection. Not at all relevant to this discussion, but just because I haven't thought of the War Nerd in a long time. One of his blog posts about the genesis of Boko Haram sent me down a giant rabbit hole of reading a bunch of Chinua Achebe's books, which in turn got me reading a ton about decolonialization in general. He could do that. Style and substance all the way down. I miss it.
Ah, this must be the famously friendly discourse of Hubski. Look dude, I figured you might actually know some things about MMT and that there might be a genuine critique under all that snark. Sorry if I came off as brash or something. I guess if you want to write elaborate explanations for why I shouldn’t read something then more power to you.
You literally stated that you had created an account only to tell me that I suck. Which was a lie, you created an account to talk about Bosnia which is fine but fundamentally, I piss in your cheerios is not the sort of introduction that gets you civil discourse. I read the damn book. You didn't. As stated, it's 95% "things other than MMT" and "things that are MMT" fits on a napkin. It is truly Laffer Curve communism; the four points I listed (or five if you want to go Wiki on it) are all you need to know. I, too, thought there was more to it than that. There is not. What else do you expect me to state? As far as "elaborate explanations for why I shouldn’t read something" I have elaborate explanations both ways. I even have a justification for pontification if you were to ask. You did not. Instead you said hi new here u sukk and then expected civil discourse. "Sorry if I came off as brash or something?" Followed by more backhanded snark? So far you've displayed - indignance - superiority - disappointment - scorn - sarcasm - haughtyness - condescension - false humility - incredulousness - and dismissal in that order and we've only traded a couple dozen words. So yeah - I could absolutely delve deeper into this shit; after all, I read the damn book. But I need a reason to interact with you. Right now, that reason is to demonstrate as convivially as possible that if you decide to interact with me in this manner you will come out on the short end. But that's done now. So. Would you like to try again? Or would you like to be on your merry way?
I actually said that your review sucks, which imo is pretty different. Didn't mean it as a personal attack or anything. If your argument relies on the premise that your opponents are simply too stupid to know what they're talking about then yeah, I'm pretty sure you're arguing in bad faith. I'm honestly not that interested in engaging beyond this point. I'll give you this though: your screes do have a lot of entertainment value.
How about some actual discussion and arguments beyond "this sux" ? So far, you're just starting shit with no explanation - don't see why anyone would engage. It's also not twitter - you're allowed to write more than 150 characters if you actually have anything constructive to say.
I actually deliberately don't mention this place on subs like /redditalternatives. I don't want more of them here LOL. That said, I'm not sure we're famous for our friendly discourse? I would be skeptical of that claim anyway. Everyone seems to agree we're rough around the edges and maybe just as rough as we were 5 years ago. A comment which I've considered and I am willing to accept. I remember many times telling people who made posts about how they didn't like hubski, that they should just leave. And that was when I thought it was in its heyday. That said I also kind of suspected this guy might be an alt. But who knows. My sister speculated that our home state was "hiding something" from us because she didn't see new COVID data posted for the past 4 days. Turns out she was looking in the wrong place. I think most conspiracy theories go like that.
https://www.emptywheel.net/2020/06/29/reflections-on-the-deficit-myth/ Yeah I like your review more.
What the fuck is wrong with people? Asshole wrote four posts in which he doesn't mention MMT at all, barely mentions the book, and then when you put a gun to his goddamn head he resorts to referring to a paper written years before. See, this is my beef: this shit isn't hard. It's typical pseudoacademic econobullshit: take a common term, wrap it in jargon, then act like you've created fucking magic. NO. Fuckin' MMT is FOUR GODDAMN POINTS (even the fucking wikipedia gets it down to 5, of which 5 is "the government doesn't need to issue bonds" but considering how hand-wavey MMT wants to be about the concept of "bonds" I don't see how it needs to be its own point). You don't need four fucking blog posts and a twittertoss to goddamn Paul Krugman to do a fucking book review.
Those of us who follow economists on Twitter still deal with "antifragile" (and Nassim Fucking Nicholas Fucking Taleb) on the daily. I had a financial planner once sell me on this. The secret to success is to come up with some fucking metric within your field, popularize it far and wide, and cash in on everyone who uses it. et voila, expertise. Black Swan starts with the statement "no one predicted WWII" as if Churchill and Wilson hadn't written about it extensively.