1. Dem Nominee: Biden 2. President: Trump 3. Why: I bought eight shares of Biden at 19¢ in January 2019; he is now trading at 25¢. It's the safe bet: he's been on the bumper stickers and in the White House, he's the conventional "electable" candidate for the anyone-but-Trump emergency. Warren is trading at 33¢ and a good bet, but I don't see what she brings for the average voter that the last candidate didn't have, other than not being a Clinton. Reelection is typical in recent elections. GHWB lost while "the economy was in recession"; Carter lost during "a worsening economy at home marked by high unemployment and inflation"; Ford was "saddled with a poor economy." Now everyone is calling for a recession, but without naming a timeline. If current trends continue another year, reelection seems likely.
biden and trump for me as well, though i won't be putting my money where my mouth is this time around because of the 10 percent cost of doing business (or whatever) note: carter looked bad internationally and ford was never elected to begin with. hw was maybe just in the wrong place at the wrong time.
I'm going with Biden/Biden. Trump's "surprise" victory in 2016 makes us forget how extremely poorly he actually did, almost giving a party a third consecutive term in the White House, something that is almost as rare as single-term presidents. Trump is no more popular now than he was in 2016, but this time there are actually serious candidates running for the Democratic nomination.