I've been eyeballing xcom 2 pretty hard. I missed the sale it was on a week or so ago, d'oh. Interesting to hear about the odd probabilities. I'm still gonna have to try it though.
So I did end up getting it. I haven't downloaded it yet though. Question about the Long War though: is the difficulty increase from vanilla to LW as it was with Enemy Within? I had a blast with LW in Enemy Within until I got to the sectoid dock mission, then it was just too brutal for me.
When you played Long War did you play it with the Enemy Within expansion? I'm wondering because when I played it with the expansion, there are some missions that have their difficulty designed on the vanilla game, but when you apply the LW changes, the difficulty spikes to exceptionally berserk for just that one mission.