My problem (one of my many problems - I've had f'ing Black Swan thrown in my face so many times I've got hives from the feathers) is that in the first few paragraphs he says 'the future will be the present minus some stuff' while nearly simultaneously saying 'nobody has ever properly predicted all the disruptive shit the future brings.' Meanwhile, glass is ancient so nothing changes, never mind, oh, plastic water bottles. "Had someone in 1950 predicted the same thing..." dude, science fiction writers have been predicting meals for a hundred years and usually they introduce some odd flavor and leave everything else the same. Then he bitches that we don't have flying cars while listening to himself talk for 1000 words. I think people like Nick Talleb because they aren't clever enough to notice that he has nothing to say... but he says it gregariously.