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1. Dem Nominee: Biden

2. President: Trump

3. Why:

I bought eight shares of Biden at 19¢ in January 2019; he is now trading at 25¢. It's the safe bet: he's been on the bumper stickers and in the White House, he's the conventional "electable" candidate for the anyone-but-Trump emergency.

Warren is trading at 33¢ and a good bet, but I don't see what she brings for the average voter that the last candidate didn't have, other than not being a Clinton.

Reelection is typical in recent elections.

GHWB lost while "the economy was in recession"; Carter lost during "a worsening economy at home marked by high unemployment and inflation"; Ford was "saddled with a poor economy."

Now everyone is calling for a recession, but without naming a timeline. If current trends continue another year, reelection seems likely.