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comment by am_Unition

IRL (RIP) I've also been saying to my wife that this is the "emperor has no clothes" moment.

Apparently people can't read fucking graphs, but China contained this thing. Yes, there will be hotspots popping up that require quenching, but they're largely done with anything remotely resembling exponential growth.

By my maths, U.S. cases will surpass the ~80,000 Chinese cases within about two weeks, and roughly exponential growth will continue even for weeks after that. I agree with some projections that we're looking at bare minimum around 100 million U.S. cases by the end of 2020.

Most people still have no idea just how much the U.S. fucked up. Sorry, world. Again, I want to be wrong. Please, let me be wrong.





kleinbl00  ·  1719 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    Apparently people can't read fucking graphs, but China contained this thing.

And it still kicked their ass.

I think the US is hosed but I think the UK is more hosed. Brazil? Venezuela? Africa? Suppose we do get a vaccine. That's gonna go to the same people the tests go to - the Twitter Checkmark Posse. I guess Indiana could do about 70 tests a day when they tested all 58 people from the Utah Jazz organization.

veen  ·  1719 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    but I think the UK is more hosed

Can you elaborate? I am on a plane back home in 24 hrs if everything goes all right, largely because I also had this suspicion and want to get the fuck away from it. But I haven't had any data to look at for example.

kleinbl00  ·  1719 days ago  ·  link  ·  

UK is playing this weird "herd immunity" game. They figure let the millennials get sick while the 'boomers hunker down in their flats for four months.

I'm willing to bet there's a memo in Downing Street somewhere that says they can cure the pension crisis by allowing some percentage of old people to just fucking kick the bucket.

am_Unition  ·  1719 days ago  ·  link  ·  

My implicit trust in Chinese statistics and reported living conditions is a bit perilous, totally agree.

LOL, maybe we've been doing too much digging? Nah, actually, it seems mostly retaliatory.

kleinbl00  ·  1719 days ago  ·  link  ·  

We call it the Spanish Flu because everyone's journalism was heavily censored during WW1 so the only country anyone could report on was neutral Spain.

If you were Xi you'd expel the shit out of all American journalists too. Everyone else's journalists? You can threaten their aid if they don't say what you want them to say.