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ButterflyEffect · 4350 days ago · link · · parent · post: Future Timeline - A speculative timeline of future history.
I think the carrying capacity really depends on how the developed world lives in the future. Will we continue to use far more resources than our necessary on a daily basis, or will everything (food, water, electricity) be scaled back to more sustainable levels? If we continue on our current path, I agree with your prediction. If programs are enacted and consumption reduced, I could see upwards of 15 billion being somewhat comfortable.