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Yeah this looks like a reasonable forecast. Of course, we just had a good sized geomagnetic storm two or three days ago that was totally unpredicted, sometimes the magnetic field in the upstream (of Earth) solar wind does whatever the hell it wants to. Starlink should be fine unless they get caught in their lower-orbit commissioning phase again. This should be a minor to moderate geomagnetic storm, at most. We'll know when we get an "uh oh..." coronal mass ejection headed right for us, this ain't it.