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"the Republicans can disenfranchise groups likely to vote Democrat through voter ID laws, ballot shortages, or what-have-you, and enough Republicans are energized and able to get to the polls that Romney wins by a small margin" What proof do you have that this is happening? I would argue that both the Right and the Left are going to do all they can to keep their opponents at home come election day. Both sides will point fingers. May the best candidate win and that candidate is Willard Mitt Romney.