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kleinbl00 · 1715 days ago · link · · parent · post: Back of the envelope estimates with publicly available information: “'Flattening the Curve' is a deadly delusion”
There's a lot of shit like this on Medium and Vox these days. I agree with you - it's a bunch of /r/conspiracy stuff parading as info and there's a lot of it right now. But it's also one of the few sources to go "we've got, best guess, 160,000 ventilators and we're looking at, best guess, three million concurrent users of those ventilators." The number I found when I dug around was 60,000. American Hospital Association, a week ago, was predicting 1.9m admissions. So yeah - the numbers are hand-wavey but at the same time, "flatten the curve" is likely to provide a few orders of magnitude less prevention than we need. It's like mk and the trees: A good idea, a noble idea, but not enough to solve the problems we're about to face.