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am_Unition  ·  1736 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Obama's CDC Director on COVID-19

Prediction: Within one to several months from now, a disproportionately fast spread of coronavirus in America vs. other wealthy or Western countries will take place. Eventually, this will be directly linked to comparatively poor rights for the U.S. working class, but also a U.S. culture lacking in educational awareness of coronavirus.

Russia has already worked to exacerbate this problem:

    In February 2020, the United States State Department reported thousands of social media accounts (Twitter, Facebook and Instagram) linked to Russia spreading disinformation about the virus. The stated reason was to "sow discord and undermine US institutions and alliances from within" and "to sow discord between [Western allies] and China". The accounts are run by humans, not bots.

I also arrived at a possibly-several-million-Americans estimate before reading your other comment somewhere else. I want to be wrong, but these transmissivity properties seem devastating. The long incubation period while apparently highly contagious, before the onset of physical symptoms, and there's probably exactly no existing resistance in probably any human population. S'not good.

We don't have good non-Chinese statistics yet. So that's also, honestly, not making me feel any more optimistic. Sorry Xi.

Roughly exponential growth is gonna be rough. I wanna be wrong. Everything in this post preceding this sentence, wrong.

Just like with climate change, though, if you're even lurking Hubski, the overwhelming odds are that you're gonna be totally fine.

I agree with what others have said: The worst prospect is that frequent mutations make coronavirus another common annual-ish threat, perhaps worse than mutations of the common cold and influenza.

Don't eat pangolin, peeps.