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Creativity  ·  2601 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: How to spot a financial crisis before it spots you

I don't have any money in the stock market, but I get the feeling that it will pop in 2018. I wonder if crypto will increase as a consequence. I believe so, but who knows.

3 days ago : https://www.businessinsider.nl/goldman-sachs-thinks-were-heading-into-a-bear-market-2017-10/?international=true&r=US

    Goldman Sachs has circulated a fascinating but scary research note to clients suggesting that the probability of stocks entering a bear market in the next 24 months currently stands at about 88%

5 months ago : https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/big-picture-ray-dalio/

    Big picture, the near term looks good and the longer term looks scary. That is because:

       - The economy is now at or near its best, and we see no major economic risks on the horizon for the next year or two,

    - There are significant long-term problems (e.g., high debt and non-debt obligations, limited abilities by central banks to stimulate, etc.) that are likely to create a squeeze,

    - Social and political conflicts are near their worst for the last number of decades, and

    - Conflicts get worse when economies worsen.

Two days ago: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-16/a-crazy-stock-market-is-punishing-sellers

    “Two rockets flew over the land mass of Japan and nothing happened,” says Mark Connors, Credit Suisse’s global head of risk advisory. “There were no calls. That’s absolutely crazy.”