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    when you leave out the Q1 2016 outlier.

The question is: Is it an outlier? If it's the beginning of a change, then it might not be. As I said above, the range needs to be greater. That's why I think Junk Charts doesn't make an effective point by dropping it.

IMO there's nothing wrong with a silly hypothesis, only the poor test of one. 0.44 says it all.