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user-inactivated  ·  3267 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: "Origins and Strategy of the Islamic State" by George Friedman, co-founder of STRATFOR

    Logically, the best course for the United States is not to engage. IS is beginning to realize this and seemingly prefers to force a battle. That is why we are beginning to see terrorist actions flaring in Western countries. The lesson al-Qaida taught IS is that the Americans have a threshold and that if you cross it, they will react dramatically.

This is really blunt. I guess Friedman thinks we will see another major terrorist attack on US soil within the next 3-5 years. I'm a little skeptical. If the capability was in place to pull one off, ISIS wouldn't wait years to do it, because their future is still too uncertain.