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I am curious what other Hubskiers believe the chances are that the USA makes a successful trip to Mars.
I am personally of the opinion that the only reason that we made it to the moon was because of the political climate of the time. We absolutely had to beat USSR to the moon as a display of military and technological dominance. Without those militaristic and political pressures, I don't think American government will ever care enough about space exploration to make it to Mars, even though it is definitely within our reach.